CRYPTOCURRENCIES – INVESTMENT OR ELECTRONIC CURRENCY OF THE FUTURE1
Douglas Schulz, Christopher Riley, and Tracy Pride Stoneman2
Today it seems you cannot open a financial publication without seeing at least one article on bitcoins or other virtual currencies/cryptocurrencies. This article will attempt to clear up much of the misunderstandings that have gov- ernments, regulators, banks, and consumers confused. The authors will also posit what lies ahead for commerce, the global banking system, the unbanked without access to Finance, reserve currencies and central banking systems and that all have a ‘new player in town’.
Brief History of Currencies
Centuries before the time of Christ, individuals traded and bartered utiliz- ing stones, beads, shells and almost anything of perceived value. The world’s first coins were either gold or silver and were minted by King Alyattes of Sar- dis, Lydia in approximately 610 BC. The first paper currency was utilized in
1. A more detailed version of this article that is more ‘investor friendly’ is available on the authors’ websites.
2. Douglas Schulz, CRCP (Certified Regulatory Compliance Professional), was a stockbroker, investment advisor, portfolio manager and licensed commodity trader. He currently trades in cryptocurrencies. His firm Invest Securities Consulting, Inc. based in Colorado does financial consulting and securities fraud expert witness work. www.securitiesexpert.com.
Christopher Riley, CEO Cutwater Shift, private equity and business optimization firm and Series 79 (Investment Banking) licensed. He was formerly in real estate development and management, has a Master’s in Organizational Psychology and has forensically helped shape the regulatory paths for the Payday Loan, Cannabis and Vehicle Service Contract industries. www.cutwatershift.com.
Tracy Pride Stoneman is a securities lawyer and co-authored the book BROKERAGE FRAUD - WHAT WALL STREET DOESN’T WANT YOU TO KNOW. She was a former Judge in Texas and served on The Board of Directors of PIABA. www.brokeragefraud.com.
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China during the Tang dynasty over 1,000 years ago. The first European bank- notes were issued in Sweden in 1661. As early as the 1800s in Europe, traders used something called a “tally stick” which in a sense was the first credit card; notches on a wooden stick indicated the amount of money lent or owed.
The exchanging of one country’s currency for another country’s currency is as old as the currencies themselves. One of the main reasons that in ancient times so many coins were either gold or silver is because there was little dis- pute over the value of an ounce of silver or gold compared to the value of a Roman coin that merely had the picture of an emperor stamped on it.
Why Cryptocurrencies - Anonymous Banking
It doesn’t seem feasible to have an anonymous global banking system with all the regulatory bodies across the world, but the cryptocurrency marketplace is trying. How the investment regulators collide with cryptocurrencies will de- termine the future of the crypto industry. Notwithstanding the investment is- sues, with the momentum of bitcoin ATMs, BitPay, LitePay debit cards in partnership with Visa3 that were abandoned4 but gave a hint to possibilities, and a full-court press on bitcoin/cryptocurrency wallets becoming mainstream, there is an epic battle about to ensue in the global banking industry. 5 We be- lieve that banks will inevitably maintain their position as the primary dissem- inator of currency. We also believe that cryptocurrencies are here to stay and will at least make a valiant run as an alternative to fiat currencies going for- ward, especially where the cryptocurrency platforms become mainstream.6
3. Wayne Duggan, What You Need To Know About LitePay, YAHOO! FIN. (Feb. 26, 2018), https://finance.yahoo.com/news/know-litepay-194936452.html. See also Tip Ranks, Will LitePay Be the Game Changer that Takes Cryptocurrency Main- stream?, NASDAQ (Feb. 8, 2018), https://www.nasdaq.com/article/will-litepay-be- the-game-changer-that-takes-cryptocurrency-mainstream-cm918280.
4. LITEPAY, https://www.litepay.us/ (last visited June 8, 2018) (“LitePay, Inc has ceased operations due to an inability to source sufficient liquidity or financing.”)
5. Jamie Redman, Bitpay Launches Bitcoin Cash Debit Card Top Ups, BITCOIN.COM (Mar. 2, 2018), https://news.bitcoin.com/bitpay-launches-bitcoin- cash-debit-card-top-ups; see also LITEPAY, https://www.litepay.us (last visited June 8, 2018) (notice ceasing operations from lack of funding).
6. Some think of cryptocurrencies as a new asset class that will survive long term but is currently an asset bubble. “We are at the birth of a new asset class. As Andreessen
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Banks will inevitably create their own cryptocurrencies and/or try to acquire or limit competitive cryptocurrencies that threaten their marketplace. Bank of America is already challenging this industry for existential reasons.7 On any particular holiday when banks are closed, “Bitcoin, as a peer-to-peer (P2P) settlement system, was able to process over $1 bln [billion] worth of transac- tions, and more than $7 bln [billion] worth of Bitcoin was traded on a single day. Regardless of holidays and weekends, users of Bitcoin and other crypto- currencies like ether can freely transact on a peer-to-peer basis, through the
Horowitz puts it, 'cryptocurrencies are a new asset class that enable decentralized ap- plications.' Or something like that. Some much smarter people than me like Chris Burniske and Adam White already wrote about the birth of the new asset class few years ago.” Etienne Brunet,
This is where we are in the life cycle of cryptocurrencies, MARKETWATCH (Dec 22, 2017),https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-is-where-we-are-in-the-life-cycle- of-crypto-currencies-2017-12-22
Brunet delineates the 5 stages of a bubble from inception to post-crash and estimates the bitcoin market to be near the midpoint of the speculative phase with the next phase being the bursting of the bubble. "As of December 2017, we are right in the speculators phase." Id.
On the other side, famed investor Warren Buffet denigrates cryptocurrencies, “(s)tay away from it. It's a mirage basically. It's a method of transmitting money. It's a very effective way of transmitting money and you can do it anonymously and all that. A check is a way of transmitting money too. Are checks worth a whole lot of money? Just because they can transmit money?"."I hope bitcoin becomes a better way to do it. But you can replicate it a bunch of different ways. The idea that it [bitcoin] has some huge intrinsic value is just a joke in my view.” Tae Kim, Bitcoin up sevenfold since Warren Buffett warned digital currency was a 'mirage', CNBC (Sept. 7,
2017), https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/07/bitcoin-up-sevenfold-since-warren-buffett- warned-digital-currency-was-a-mirage.html. “In similar fashion, billionaire investor Howard Marks told his clients to avoid high-flying digital currencies in July. ‘In my view, digital currencies are nothing but an unfounded fad (or perhaps even a pyramid scheme), based on a willingness to ascribe value to something that has little or none beyond what people will pay for it,’ Marks wrote in an investor letter. The manager then compared cryptocurrencies to the tulip mania of 1637, the South Sea bubble of 1720 and the internet bubble of 1999.” Id.
7. Evelyn Cheng, Bank of America is worried about the threat of cryptocurrency to its business, CNBC (Feb. 23, 2018), https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/23/bank-of- america-worried-about-threat-of-cryptocurrency-to-its-business.html.
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Utilization of wallets.”8 For example, Business Insider reported a recent $99 million litecoin transaction that cost 40 cents and took 2.5 minutes.9
This leads us to the Federal Reserve and the central banking system and we feel that it is also inevitable that some form of cryptocurrency will be pre- sent in both of those systems. “Some central banks are analyzing a cryptocur- rency or other forms of digital currency that could be made widely available to the general public and serve as an alternative safe, robust and convenient payment, instrument, said the study by the group that includes the Federal Re- serve and 59 other central banks for nations that account for about 95 percent of world gross domestic product.”10 Before Jerome Powell advises the primary Federal Reserve banks to choose a cryptocurrency, we have many years ahead of sifting through regulatory changes, vetting periods and the realization that cryptocurrencies are not evil. However, just like the credit card and payday loan industries, the “evildoers” need to be washed away before the industry can survive and be embraced by consumers.
There is one arena that makes logistical sense for cryptocurrencies and that surrounds the “unbanked” group which currently has very little or no access to any banking system. However, there are more caution flags waving in this arena to inject cryptocurrencies into than solution flags.
The first issues with outsiders bringing cryptocurrencies into a developing nation or an area that does not possess a sufficient banking system but whose recipients might not appreciate the intrusion. “As is the case with all efforts of outsiders attempting to better the lives of distant people, an uneasy awareness exists of the legacy of colonialism and the fine line between assistance and
8. Joseph Young, Cryptocurrencies vs. Banks: Advantage of Decentralized Financial Systems, COINTELEGRAPH (Mar. 10, 2018), available at https://cointelegraph.com/ news/cryptocurrencies-vs-banks-advantage-of-decentralized-financial-systems .
9. Oscar Williams-Grut, Someone transferred $99 million in litecoin — and it only cost them $0.40 in fees, Business Insider, BUS. INSIDER (Apr. 23, 2018), http://www.businessinsider.com/a-99-million-litecoin-trade-took-just-25-minutes- and-cost-040-2018-4.
10. Ted Knutson, Central Bank Cryptocurrencies Promising As Use Of Cash Disap- pears, Says Global Regulator Group, FORBES (Mar. 12, 2018), https://www.forbes. com/sites/tedknutson/2018/03/12/central-bank-cryptocurrencies-promising-as-use- of-cash-disappears-says-global-regulator-group/#4401dc8c30bd.
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paternalism.”11 The real danger here is the volatility and insecurity of crypto- currencies which could put the assets of those who can least afford a loss, at risk.
There are two schools of thought on the risks for the unbanked and they both reflect the immaturity of this innovation. One school believes that cryp- tocurrencies are the wave of the future and it would be foolish not to bring a solution to the unbanked so they can transact goods and services and partici- pate in a broader form of commerce. The countervailing arguments point to the advisory and regulatory bodies that caution that cryptocurrencies require research, that a user be educated on the risks and cautions that users not ‘gam- ble’ with resources that they cannot afford to lose.
The authors of this piece advise the unbanked to avoid bitcoin, ethereum, Bitcoin Cash and all other public cryptocurrencies due to its extreme volatility. We would encourage some organization to specifically design and implement a cryptocurrency that would serve the unbanked and have a foundation behind it as a store of value. In fact, we believe that before 2019, there will be such an instrument and we believe, if done properly with proper vetting and due dili- gence, that this instrument will be a significant solution to bringing the un- banked into the 21st century!
No central bank or agency governs these new vehicles and thus when there is an irrevocable and untraceable trail of clues after a hack and theft of millions of dollars of cryptocurrencies, the investigators are unable to follow the money. This is a problem. In fact, this war between the cryptocurrency ano- nymity juggernauts and the traceable regulated banking is just about to begin. All of the thousands percent increases of these currencies could be wiped out with one regulation worldwide that would shatter the anonymity aspect of cryptocurrencies.
Ransomware criminals love anonymity. Their ability to have their victims pay in bitcoins has caused many companies to purchase bitcoins so the com- panies can retrieve their data via ransom if they are hacked.12
11. Paul Vigna & Michael Casey, Bitcoin for the Unbanked, FOREIGN AFFAIRS (Oct. 25, 2017), https://www.foreignaffairs.com/sponsored/bitcoin-unbanked.
12. Michael Baker, How Cryptocurrencies Are Fueling Ransomware Attacks and Other Cybercrimes, FORBES (August 3, 2017), https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbes techcouncil/2017/08/03/how-cryptocurrencies-are-fueling-ransomware-attacks-and- other-cybercrimes/.
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Let’s explore how these platforms are intended to work and what happened to the second largest cryptocurrency, ethereum, that created a crisis and even- tual split of its founders. The center of this technology is a Decentralized Autonomous Organization, or DAO. This is the foundation underpinning a good number of cryptocurrencies and is critical for all stakeholders to understand. Without going into detail, the largest cryptocurrency after Bitcoin embodies what is known as ‘smart contracts’. “Basically, ‘smart contract’ is the term used to describe a computer code that enables the exchange of things of value, such as money, shares, property, and information.”13 The uses for smart con- tracts are virtually endless. They are easier to implement, do not require inter- mediaries such as notaries and lawyers and are recorded on a ledger known as the blockchain.14
Several uses for smart contracts are:15
➢ raising capital through crowdfunding digitally and safely
➢ securely implementing insurance contracts, real estate contracts and other contracts that do not require lawyers, agents or other intermediaries
➢ controlling access to personal information in associations or public groups like country clubs or homeowner associations
➢ tracking supply chains so that the entire process is implemented through smart contracts and available on the blockchain for all to witness
➢ predictions on certain events like elections or winners of any time of sport- ing event where gambling or cash prizes are awarded to the winner
A DAO is an organization that uses these smart contracts for their trans- actions. For the most part, these are streamlining the way volumes of transac- tions are implemented. However, early on there were growing pains. There was an organization called Slock.it that used a DAO to make investment deci- sions. The problem came when the programmers of Slock.it allowed for a hole for hackers to corrupt the code and approximately $50 million dollars was sto- len from the company. The founders of ethereum decided to help the company and create a hard fork in the code, which goes against the entire decentralized
13. IKUYA TAKISHIMA, ETHEREUM: THE ULTIMATE GUIDE TO THE WORLD OF ETHEREUM 9 (2017).
14. Mike Orcutt, Ethereum’s smart contracts are full of holes, MIT TECH. REV., (Mar. 1, 2018), https://www.technologyreview.com/s/610392/ethereums-smart-con- tracts-are-full-of-holes/.
15. Takishima, supra note 13, at 35-50.
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credo of cryptocurrencies. The ethereum founders ended up helping the com- pany get the $50 million back, but the hardcore ethereum founders ended up splitting and forming ethereum Classic, which does not have the hard fork in the program to help locate thieves. Ethereum is alive and well with a price above $900 per ether coin. Ethereum Classic’s price is below $50 per coin.
This one example is a very significant piece of data as to how the entire cryptocurrency industry is going to penetrate just about every two-party con- tract industry. Transaction driven industries like real estate,16 insurance,17 car rental, hotel, travel and law18 are beginning to embrace the ethereum smart contracts because if they are not already being used by your competitors, they are certainly investigating it. Just as investment advisors need to proceed with caution, so too should businesses and law because there are certainly issues with these smart contracts being 'smart’.19 “What are the requirements in to- day’s world to be accepted as a legitimate currency used for the buying, selling and exchanging of products and services?” Answer: security, stability, size, volume, liquidity, and legitimacy.
Security and Hacking
Think for a moment if, during the climb of Google stock when it broke through the $400 stock price in March 2013 that NASDAQ came out with a statement that five hundred million dollars ($500,000,000) in Google stock was stolen and it can’t identify who stole it, because NASDAQ uses an anon- ymous stock certificate tracking system.
This scenario happened to Mt. Gox’s cryptocurrency exchange in Febru- ary 2014 when five hundred million dollars ($500,000,000) worth of bitcoins
16. DELOITTE, BLOCKCHAIN IN COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE (2017), available at https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/us/Documents/financial-ser- vices/us-fsi-rec-blockchain-in-commercial-real-estate.pdf.
17. How Will Smart Contracts Make Revolution in the Insurance Industry?, ALT- COINTODAY.COM (Feb. 19, 2018), https://altcointoday.com/will-smart-contracts- make-revolution-insurance-industry/.
18. Michael del Castillo, Legally Binding Smart Contracts? 10 Law Firms Join En- terprise Ethereum Alliance, COINDESK (Aug. 14, 2017), https://www.coindesk. com/legally-binding-smart-contracts-9-law-firms-join-enterprise-ethereum-alliance/.
19. Andrew Glidden, Should Smart Contracts Be Legally-Enforceable?, BLOCK- CHAIN AT BERKELEY (FEB. 27, 2018), https://blockchainatberkeley.blog/should- smart-contracts-be-legally-enforceable-599b69f73aea.
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were stolen. The SEC, NYSE, NASDAQ and the Attorney General of the United States have no power over Mt. Gox since it is located in Tokyo, Japan, yet hundreds of millions of American dollars were lost. Now, four years later, it could happen again as smaller hacks are happening at various exchanges and companies across the globe.
The mining companies in the cryptocurrency exchanges have not rectified their security problems that have allowed for hundreds of millions of dollars to be hacked from the various systems. For legitimacy and acceptance broadly, these problems will need to be cleared up relatively quickly. The following are a few more examples of security breaches.
December 19, 2017 - “A cryptocurrency exchange in South Korea col- lapsed on Tuesday after it suffered a second cyberattack in eight months and lost a large amount of its digital-currency reserves. Yapian, the company that operates a Seoul-based exchange called Youbit, suspended digital-currency trading and filed for bankruptcy after its systems were hacked in the predawn hours of Tuesday. The exchange trades 10 virtual currencies including bitcoin and ethereum. Yapian said in a statement that the latest security breach caused it to lose 17% of its total assets. The company didn’t specify the type of virtual currencies that were stolen or the financial value of its losses. The previous cyberattack, in April, also resulted in losses from its reserves.”20
January 27, 2018 - “Japanese exchange Coincheck Inc. said Sunday it would spend up to ¥46.3 billion ($426 million) to pay back customers after it was hacked and lost cryptocurrency worth some $530 million two days earlier. In a release on its website, Coincheck said customers holding the cryptocur- rency NEM would be paid back in Japanese yen at a rate of 88.549 yen per NEM. The company said it lost 523 million NEM after the cyberattack, mean- ing the payments would amount to ¥46.3 billion. It said about 260,000 custom- ers hold NEM.21
February 10, 2018 - “An Italian cryptocurrency exchange called BitGrail said on Friday that it lost about 17 million tokens of a cryptocurrency called Nano, with a market value of about $170 million. In a note on its website, the
20. Eun-Young Jeong & Steven Russolillo, Hack Causes Exchange to File for Bank- ruptcy, WALL ST. J. (Dec. 20, 2017); Eun-Young Jeong & Steven Russolillo, Crypto- currency Exchange Collapses, Files for Bankruptcy After Second Hack,, WALL ST. J. (Dec. 19, 2017), https://www.wsj.com/articles/cryptocurrency-exchange-collapses- files-for-bankruptcy-after-second-hack-1513683519.
21. Peter Landers, Japanese Cryptocurrency Exchange Coincheck to Pay Back Cus- tomers, WALL ST. J. (Jan. 27, 2018).
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exchange said, “Internal checks revealed unauthorized transactions which led to a 17 million Nano shortfall, an amount forming part of the wallet managed by BitGrail.” It didn’t indicate exactly when the hack occurred. The exchange said that it has informed authorities, and that it didn’t believe any other cur- rencies it holds were affected. It did say, however, that it was suspending all withdrawals and deposits temporarily.22
Until the United States regulatory bodies come together to resolve these issues23, it is entirely possible the cryptocurrency marketplace could look and operate a lot more like the cannabis industry where legal Colorado state enti- ties do not violate state laws by conducting business, but the moment they pay federal 941 taxes, they are admitting to a federal crime. The solution in Denver is for the cannabis companies to haul duffle bags of cash to the Denver IRS office; federal banks won’t allow them to transact business because marijuana is still federally illegal. Thus, the cannabis companies are searching for ways to transact business without using fiat currencies and having to deposit monies in a bank. Welcome to the world of cryptocurrencies. “Technology companies like SinglePoint24 and POSaBIT25 are working to generate a payment method for dispensaries and consumers using bitcoin. In recent years, some cryptocur- rencies have cropped up specifically for cannabis transactions,
22. Paul Vigna, Cryptocurrency Worth $170 Million Missing from Italian Exchange, WALL ST. J. (Feb. 10, 2018).
23. The search for international standards is also progressing. “Some of the technolo- gists at the meeting of the International Standards Organization were surprised when they learned that the head of the Russian delegation, Grigory Marshalko, worked for the F.S.B., the intelligence agency that is the successor to the K.G.B. They were even more surprised when they asked the F.S.B. agent why the Russians were devoting such resources to the blockchain standards. ‘Look, the internet belongs to the Ameri- cans — but blockchain will belong to us,’ he said, according to one delegate who was there.” Nathaniel Popper, Blockchain Will Be Theirs, Russian Spy Boasted at Conference, N.Y. TIMES (April 29, 2018), https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/29/ technology/blockchain-iso-russian-spies.html.
24. SINGLEPOINT, https://www.singlepoint.com/ (last visited June 8, 2018).
25. POSABIT, http://www.posabit.com/ (last visited June 8, 2018).
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Like PotCoin26 and HempCoin.27 This is just one example of how cryptocurrencies can exist well into the future.
The security issue still exists for consumers. The precious commodity backing up cryptocurrencies is a long alphanumeric code or integer that you most likely should only have one copy of on a removable storage device (cold storage)28 where you can safe keep it. If you buy cryptocurrencies on an online exchange, they keep your code for you behind their firewall, which is why the Mt. Gox situation was so devastating. People who thought their currency was safe lost all their money. Cold storage is the advisable way to store your cryp- tocurrency. For those just coming into the cryptocurrency world, it must be somewhat shocking to think that in a world riddled with internet security issues and online banking that for a currency that exists solely online, the one sure way to secure it is to have a physical storage device stored under your mattress reminiscent of a bygone era.
Stability is the single biggest obstacle for cryptocurrencies. Most busi- nesses based in the United States are rarely affected by currency fluctuations. Many international businesses have a major percentage of their businesses based on not only buying certain products from foreign countries but also sell- ing their end product to foreign countries. If these international companies trade with countries that have currencies that are unstable, they can a) use the currency markets to hedge these exchange risk; b) force that country to both pay or sell their products and services in U.S. dollars, and c) use an intermedi- ary to take the currency risk out of play based on currency exchanges that ex- hibit small incremental movements in deep markets.
Cryptocurrencies have been anything but stable. They were stable in the early years, but that was merely from the fact that there was little interest and very little volume. ethereum traded at $17.64 in April, 2017 and less than a year later it hit a high of $1,338 (a 7,585% increase) before dropping 37% in only a few months down to $845.56. If you received ten bitcoins in November
26. POTCOIN, https://www.potcoin.com/ (last visited June 8, 2018).
27. Annie Nova, Bitcoin Offers the Cannabis Industry an Alternative to Banks, CNBC (Dec. 15, 2017), www.cnbc.com/2017/12/15/bitcoin-offers-the-cannabis-in- dustry-an-alternative-to-banks.html.
28. Cold Storage is the slang term for a removable storage device that houses the codes that are unique to the owner of any amount of a cryptocurrency.
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2017 for $190,000 in services and held those bitcoins until January 18, 2018 (only 2 months) and then bought more inventory with your bitcoin, you would have lost 45% of your buying power and would have received 45% less prod- uct, because bitcoin lost 45% in two months. For this reason, the marketplace is going to have a difficult time embracing bitcoin, ether and all the other cryp- tocurrencies until some form of stability or hedging is present in this market- place. The following are two recent examples of the volatility.
December 22, 2017 - Bitcoin Plunges 25% in 24 Hours in a Cryptocur- rency Market Rout. The price of bitcoin tumbled sharply Friday in Asia, wip- ing one-fourth of its market value in the past 24 hours alone, as a wave of selling hit the broader cryptocurrency market just before the Christmas holi- day weekend. Bitcoin recently traded at $13,758 after earlier falling as low as
$12,504, according to research site CoinDesk. The notoriously volatile digital currency started December at about $10,000 and traded close to $20,000 this past weekend but has been in retreat since. From its recent peak, the virtual currency has lost about $121 billion of its total market value in less than a week or more than twice the market cap of Tesla Inc.29
January 17, 2018 - Bitcoin prices fell below $10,000 on Wednesday, mark- ing a drop of about 50% from their December record and illustrating the de- gree to which the cryptocurrency remains a highly illiquid and volatile invest- ment. Bitcoin fell as low as $9,966, down around 6% on the day and nearly half from its Dec. 17 record of $19,783.21, according to data from CoinDesk. A day earlier, the cryptocurrency plunged as much as 25%. Later in the U.S. morning, the price bounced back above the $10,000 mark. Wednesday’s drop spread quickly to other major digital currencies. Ether was down as much as 33%. XRP was down 47%. Litecoin was down 35%. Newer tokens like Car- dano, EOS and Monero were down 35% or more.30
In the last year, the explosive growth of different cryptocurrencies and skyrocketing volume and dollar value of cryptocurrencies is not, we repeat, not due to the interest in cryptocurrencies becoming the trading currency of the future; it’s because of the speculative trading fever of the underlying cur- rency.
29. Steven Russolillo & Gregor Stuart Hunter, Digital currency has lost $121 billion of its total market value in less than a week, WALL ST. J., Dec. 22, 2017.
30. Gregor Stuart Hunter, Bitcoin Extends Rout, Dipping Below $10,000 - Drop spreads to other cryptocurrencies, such as ether and litecoin, WALL ST. J. (Jan. 17, 2018).
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Size - Volume - Liquidity
We address the issue of currency gaining worldwide acceptance of size, volume and liquidity because they are interrelated. If the currency is going to be used for commerce, it must be available worldwide. The term used for this size/volume is referred to the amount of a specific currency in ‘circulation.’ There are a number of formulas for calculating circulation, but the more gen- erally accepted, simplest formula is the number of coins, paper currency and banknotes that have been issued minus any that have been removed from cir- culation by a country’s central bank. The Bank for International Settlements listed the following numbers for the amount of currency in circulation as of December 31, 2016.31
Billions of US Dollars)
1. United States
2. Europe – Euro
8. United Kingdom
Don’t be fooled by the amount of money in circulation for established cur- rencies as it pales in comparison when you consider the trillions of dollars that are traded in the currency markets daily, the best measure of liquidity and volume. The world’s largest trading market for currencies is the United States based Forex Market.
31. For volume in host country currency, see BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLE- MENTS, STATISTICS ON PAYMENT, CLEARING AND SETTLEMENT SYSTEMS IN THE CPMI COUNTRIES (Dec. 2017), available at https://www.bis.org/cpmi/publ/d172.pdf; for comparison converting all to USD, see Circulation (currency), WIKIPEDIA https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Circulation_(currency)&oldid= 826015376 .
32. It is unknown how much renminbi (or Yuan) is in circulation, but estimates are approximately $1,000 billion US dollars. Id.
33. All Crpytocurrencies, COINMARKETCAP, https://coinmarketcap.com/all/views/ all/ (As of early March 2018, the market cap of all cryptocurrencies was $467 Billion).
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According to the Bank for International Settlements, the preliminary global results from the 2016 Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and OTC Derivatives Markets Activity show that trading in foreign exchange markets averaged $5.09 trillion per day in April 2016. This is down from $5.4 trillion in April 2013 but up from $4.0 trillion in April 2010. Meas- ured by value, foreign exchange swaps were traded more than any other in- strument in April 2016 at $2.4 trillion per day, followed by spot trading at $1.7 trillion.34 The $5.09 trillion break-down is as follows:
· $1.654 trillion in spot transactions
· $700 billion in outright forwards
· $2.383 trillion in foreign exchange swaps
· $96 billion currency swaps
· $254 billion in options and other products
“The most often traded currency pairs are the EUR/USD (approx. 28% of all volume), the USD/JPY (approx. 17% of all volume), and the GBP/USD (approx. 14% of all volume).”35 In contrast the cryptocurrency market changes roughly $50 billion a day, comparable to the New York Stock Exchange.36
As any new product or concept that is embraced by consumers spawns countless copycats and competitors, cryptocurrencies have not only followed suit in this regard, but they have created an unprecedented threat of fraud and misdirection for consumers. Anyone with basic programming skills can create a cryptocurrency.
34. BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS, TRIENNIAL CENTRAL BANK SURVEY: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TURNOVER IN APRIL 2016 (2016), available at https://www.bis. org/publ/rpfx16fx.pdf.
35. The main forex currencies, FOREX-CENTRAL.NET, http://www.forex-central.net/ main-currencies.php (last visited June 8, 2018).
36. Oscar Williams-Grut, The cryptocurrency market is now doing the same daily volume as the New York Stock Exchange, BUS. INSIDER (Dec. 20, 2017), http://marets.businessinsider.com/currencies/news/daily-cryptocurrency-volumes-vs-stock- market-volumes-2017-12-1011680451.
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The cryptocurrency pioneer, bitcoin, began in 2009. In 2018, there are more than 1,500 coins and tokens with a market capitalization of approxi- mately $500 billion U.S. dollars.37 As the cryptocurrency market keeps grow- ing, questions as to how the governments will control the money supply begin to creep into boardrooms and policy meetings. The answer is very concerning to traditional economists that are accustom to fiat currency.
The above concerns sound a bit worse than actual reality, primarily be- cause governments still have control over regulating this new industry. Alt- hough they cannot stop future cryptocurrencies from multiplying in number, they can control how they affect the buying and selling of goods and services. We explore this concept a bit further, as this is one of the major concerns that is affecting the unknown future of this cryptic industry. Bitcoin is the clear leader as the pioneer and has the largest market cap at just under $200 billion U.S. dollars. There is a total of 21,000,000 (twenty-one million) bitcoins avail- able and once all of those bitcoins have been mined or have unlocked the code so that they can go into circulation, no more bitcoins can be generated. Unlike the U.S. dollar which, at the ‘flick of a pen’ from the Treasury Department, can kick out 5,000,000 one-hundred-dollar notes to add $500 million of U.S. dollars into circulation, once the last bitcoin is thrust in to circulation, the only variable that can change is the price fluctuation of the cost of a bitcoin. In this manner bitcoin is akin to gold, though more gold can be found, the increments are small and thus gold functions as a fixed supply of value. This is why it is popular with some who fear inflationary pressures. When will all bitcoins be in circulation? The designers set up the program so that there are a certain number of bitcoins that are awarded once a block formula is successfully solved. When bitcoin started, the number of bitcoins per block was 50. After 210,000 blocks of 50 bitcoins per block, the program is set to cut in half the 50 bitcoins to 25 bitcoins per successful block mined…and so forth. Every 210,000 blocks it will half again until the sum of bitcoins per block (50+25+12.5+6.25…) = 100. 100 times 210,000 = $21,000,000 or twenty-one million bitcoins in circulation. This whole process will take almost 100 years to complete. Because of the halving system, almost 17 million of the 21 million bitcoins are already in circulation (approximately 80%) in the early months of 2018. All statistics, timing, bitcoins per block, when the blocks half again from 12.5 to 6.25 can all be found on the Bitcoinblockhalf.com website. The originators of a cryptocurrency wrote a computer program that requires other computers to try and guess a random
37. COINMARKETCAP.COM, https://coinmarketcap.com/.
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integer from 0 to 4,294,967,296 called a nonce that will unlock a block of vir- tual coins that can be saved by the owner of the computer that cracked the code.38 Many thousands of computers can be trying to crack the code for a block at the same time and only one of the fastest computers, or a lucky com- puter, will be the victor. All the other computers then have to move on to the next block. Since the originators wanted to release only portions of their cur- rency every year, the program adjusts to make sure only a block is obtained every 10 minutes or so. For instance, bitcoin is going to be releasing portions of its 21 million coins until around the year 2140.
This is only how bitcoin, litecoin and several others of the blockchain tech- nology cryptocurrency coins operate. litecoin has 84 million total coins with about 64% or 54 million in circulation for a market cap of $12 billion dollars in the early months of 2018. Ethereum does not currently have a finite number that it will cap out at, but it is estimated that ether (the currency for the ethereum network) will cap out at around 100 million coins. It currently has about 97 million in circulation for a $90 billion-dollar market cap. Ethereum has the smart contracts that are wrapped into its platform and will be one of the main focal points for how this industry moves forward. In the opinion of the authors, ethereum will be one of the survivors in this complex industry because the millions of transactions for basic needs such as real estate, insur- ance and car rentals can be done quicker and easier through the blockchain technology, which is what ethereum’s smart contracts operate under.
The top five in market cap are bitcoin, ethereum, ripple, bitcoin cash and litecoin. The other coins of note are Cardano, Stellar, NEO, EOS, IOTA, Dash, and Monero. Each has unique aspects to them and prices range from .25 cents to over $1,000 per coin. The top five in market cap account for 68.5% of the entire $490 billion dollar market cap of the cryptocurrency world.39 This is an amazing number, when you consider that, as shown above, only four econo- mies (the United States, the European Union, China and Japan) have more currency in circulation than the collective market capitalization of cryptocur- rencies.
This has risen the alert flags of regulators and governments across the world so much so that crackdowns, policy changes and bans have created an unstable, undulating price fluctuation for the most circulated cryptocurrencies. This investment instability has put a black mark on the investment aspect of
38. Noelle Acheson, How Bitcoin Mining Works, COINDESK, (Jan. 29, 2018), https://www.coindesk.com/information/how-bitcoin-mining-works/.
39. All Cryptocurrencies, COINMARKETCAP, https://coinmarketcap.com/all/views/ all/ (last visited June 8, 2018).
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cryptocurrencies. As a pure investment, all investment advisors should warn every client that these are extremely volatile, complex investments and should not be purchased with anything but speculative, discretionary funds they are prepared to lose. This is unfortunate because, notwithstanding the prior warn- ing to the public, the underlying platforms such as smart contracts and methods of payment for transactions are the true inherent value of cryptocurrencies. These components should be evaluated separately by consumers to improve the ease of transacting and by merchants for their value to increase the enter- prise value of their company.
Regulators and Government Intervention
The following is a list of the current regulators of cryptocurrencies in the United States.
CFTC – Commodity Futures Trading Commission
The CFTC is responsible for recording and monitoring the trading of fu- tures contracts on United States futures exchanges. The CFTC has the author- ity to fine, suspend, or sue the company or individual in federal court in cases of misconduct, fraud, or if a rule is broken. The CFTC also regulates commod- ity pools and commodity trading advisors. Many hedge funds operate as com- modity trading pools. In December 2017, bitcoin futures began trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and on the Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE). The CBOE is now commonly referred to as Cboe Global Markets and thus comes under the watchful eye of the CFTC.40
NFA - National Futures Association
The NFA is to the CFTC as FINRA is to the SEC. The NFA is a self- regulatory organization designated by the CFTC as a Registered Futures As- sociation. The NFA was created by Congress in September 1981. The Dodd- Frank Wall Street Reform Act of 2010 created additional new reforms and
40. See generally, Comment Letter from William J. Brodsky, Chairman and CEO of the CBOE to Elizabeth Murphy, Secretary of the SEC and David Stawick, Secretary of the CFTC (Sept. 20, 2010), available at https://www.sec.gov/comments/s7-16- 10/s71610-46.pdf.
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requirements relating both to the CFTC and the NFA. Membership in the NFA is mandatory for those institutions trading for clients on U.S.-based future ex- changes. The current NFA membership is roughly 4,000 firms and approxi- mately 55,000 associates (licensed commodity brokers). One of the ways that the NFA regulates its members is through the publication of its NFA Rulebook containing rules, regulations, norms, and standards.41 The NFA’s website pro- vides warnings as it relates to trading virtual currencies.
SEC - Securities Exchange Commission
Many lay investors do not understand that the myriad of investments reg- ulated by the SEC - stocks, bonds, mutual funds, stock options and other sim- ilar investments - does not include U.S. commodity futures and commodity options. Those are regulated by the CFTC and the NFA mentioned above.
FINRA - Financial Industry Regulatory Authority
FINRA regulates approximately 4,250 brokerage firms and approximately 629,000 registered securities representatives.
The U.S. Federal Reserve
Just in the last few months, there has been both a push and a prediction that in the relatively near future the Federal Reserve will create a United States based cryptocurrency.42 The Federal Reserve lists 7 purposes and functions that include regulating financial institutions, consumer protection and efficient safe payment and settlement system.43
41. See generally, NFA RULEBOOK, NAT’L FUTURES ASS’N, available at
42. Jeff John Roberts, 5 Reasons the Fed Needs a Bitcoin-Style Currency, FORTUNE MAGAZINE (December 26, 2017); Rakesh Sharma, Federal Reserve May Introduce A Cryptocurrency in The Future, INVESTOPEDIA (December 4, 2017).
43. Purposes & Functions, FEDERAL RESERVE, https://www.federalreserve.gov/ aboutthefed/pf.htm (last visited June 8, 2018).
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Examples of Governmental Intervention
It is almost a daily occurrence that some governmental agency or regula- tory body worldwide files some warning to investors, new restrictions, or in some of the more severe cases, shutting down entire cryptocurrency exchanges or mining operations. The following is just a few examples in recent months.
December 6, 2017 - “The Commodity Futures Trading Commission sent subpoenas Dec. 6 to virtual-currency exchange Bitfinex and its sister firm Tether Ltd., which issues tokens that it says are backed by a fund valued at about $2.3 billion in U.S. dollars. That fund hasn’t been audited, and critics have questioned whether Tether can verify that it actually has those funds in reserve.”44
January 22, 2018 - Probably the biggest bombshell that the cryptocurrency markets were hit with was when South Korean financial regulators ruled they would no longer allow anonymous cryptocurrency trading accounts. The new regulations require anyone who is going to trade in cryptocurrencies to have a bank account that is linked to their cryptocurrency exchanges. Opening or uti- lizing a bank account already requires individuals to provide a laundry list of personal information. One of the motivations behind South Korea’s new reg- ulation is its attempt to eradicate money laundering.45
February 5, 2018 - “Chinese authorities plan to block websites related to cryptocurrency trading and fundraising, state media reported, in the latest move to tighten controls over what Beijing deems as risky investments. Regu- lators are planning ‘a list of measures’ aimed at cryptocurrency trading, in- cluding ‘dealing with domestic and international websites,’ according to a re- port Monday by Financial News, a publication affiliated with China’s central bank.” 46
Feb. 6, 2018 - “U.S. regulators plan to ask Congress to consider imposing stricter federal oversight on trading of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as market cops amplify alarms about an asset that is largely exempt from inves- tor-protection laws. The chairmen of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission plan to testify Tuesday that
44. Gabriel T. Rubin & Paul Vigna, U.S. Regulators Subpoena Bitfinex, Tether Over Digital Tokens, WALL ST. J. (Jan. 31, 2018).
45. Eun-Young Jeong & Steven Russolillo, Noose Tightens on Anonymous Crypto- currency Trading in South Korea, WALL ST. J. (Jan. 23, 2018).
46. Chao Deng, The Latest Victim of China’s Great Firewall: Cryptocurrency Web- sites, WALL ST. J. (Feb. 5, 2018).
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cryptocurrency trading has outgrown the state-based regulation that covers many platforms. The aggressive tone adds to headwinds that bitcoin faces, in- cluding a crackdown in China and a move by U.S. banks to halt credit-card purchases of bitcoin. Bitcoin prices fell 11.6% on Monday, capping weeks of volatility. ‘The currently applicable regulatory framework for cryptocurrency trading was not designed with trading of the type we are witnessing in mind,’ SEC Chairman Jay Clayton said in prepared remarks for the Senate Banking Committee.”47
February 28, 2018 – The Wall Street Journal reported that “The Securities and Exchange Commission has issued dozens of subpoenas and information requests to technology companies and advisers involved in the red-hot market for cryptocurrencies…. The sweeping probe significantly ratchets up the reg- ulatory pressure on the multibillion-dollar U.S. market for raising funds in cryptocurrencies. It follows a series of warning shots from the top U.S. secu- rities regulator suggesting that many token sales, or initial coin offerings, may be violating securities laws. The wave of subpoenas includes demands for information about the structure for sales and pre-sales of the ICOs, which aren’t bound by the same rigorous rules that govern public offerings, accord- ing to the people familiar with the matter. Companies use coin offerings to raise money for everything from file-sharing technology to pet passports. ‘Many promoters of ICOs and cryptocurrencies are not complying with our securities laws,’ SEC chairman Jay Clayton said earlier this year. In another speech he said he has instructed his staff to be ‘on high alert for approaches to ICOs that may be contrary to the spirit’ of those laws.”48
March 2, 2018 - Jeremy Gardner, a co-founder of hedge fund Ausum Ven- tures, said in a tweet, With Australia set to introduce new legislation that will empower authorities to monitor and regulate the activities of cryptocurrency traders, many analysts are anticipating that the country’s bitcoin investors will face a crackdown from the country’s tax office. Australia’s new cryptocurrency regulations will see anti-money laundering legislation extended in order to greater encompass the challenges posed by virtual currencies. Analysts are
47. Dave Michaels & Gabriel T. Rubin, Patchy Bitcoin Oversight Poses Hazards for Investors, Regulators Say, WALL ST. J. (Feb. 6, 2018).
48. Jean Eaglesham & Paul Vigna, SEC Launches Cryptocurrency Probe, WALL ST. J. (March 1, 2018).
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expecting that the Australian Tax Office (ATO) will launch a crackdown on Australian cryptocurrency traders once the new rules are in effect.49
March 7, 2018 – SEC policy statement: “Online trading platforms have become a popular way investors can buy and sell digital assets, including coins and tokens offered and sold in so-called Initial Coin Offerings ("ICOs"). The platforms often claim to give investors the ability to quickly buy and sell digital assets. Many of these platforms bring buyers and sellers together in one place and offer investors access to automated systems that display priced orders, execute trades, and provide transaction data. A number of these plat- forms provide a mechanism for trading assets that meet the definition of a "security" under the federal securities laws. If a platform offers trading of digital assets that are securities and operates as an "exchange," as defined by the federal securities laws, then the platform must register with the SEC as a na tional securities exchange or be exempt from registration. The federal regu- latory framework governing registered national securities exchanges and ex- empt markets is designed to protect investors and prevent against fraudulent and manipulative trading practices.”50 Bitcoin immediately fell 10%, almost $1,000 after the announcement.
March 8, 2018 – “Japan’s financial regulator punished several cryptocur- rency exchanges on Thursday, including suspending operations at two of them for a month, part of new restrictions following an apparent $530 million heist at one of its larger crypto platforms, Coincheck Inc. The Financial Services Agency said two of the country’s smaller exchanges, FSHO and Bit Station, had been ordered to halt operations for a month due to a lack of proper pro- cedures to protect customers’ assets. The agency said the owner of Bit Station had improperly used customers’ bitcoin for personal use. It also asked Coin- check to better protect clients, take anti-money-laundering measures and over- haul operations.”51
49. Samuel Haig, Aussie Crypto Traders Expect Tax Crackdown Ahead of New Reg- ulations, BITCOIN.COM (Mar. 2, 2018), https://news.bitcoin.com/aussie-crypto-trad- ers-expect-tax-crackdown-ahead-of-new-regulations/.
50. Policy Statement, Statement on Potentially Unlawful Online Platforms for Trad- ing Digital Assets, SEC Div. of Enforcement (March 7, 2018), available at https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/enforcement-tm-statement-potentially- unlawful-online-platforms-trading.
51. Steven Russolillo & Kosaku Narioka, Japan Suspends Trading on Two Crypto- currency Exchanges, WALL ST. J. (March 8, 2018).
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Mechanics of Investing and Trading Cryptocurrencies Today
There are various images associated with each cryptocurrency and most all of them are coin images. Many of them have ‘coin’ in its name such as bitcoin, litecoin, bytecoin, and dogecoin. Dogecoin was created as a joke and is named after a Japanese dog. Images of coins are created only to provide some sense of reality to these virtual coins.
How Do You Buy Goods and Services Using Cryptocurrencies?
To buy goods and services using cryptocurrencies is actually very easy and secure. Hundreds upon thousands of merchants across the world accept cryptocurrency as payment for goods and services. The direct way to purchase goods and services is to have what is known as an electronic wallet that stores your cryptocurrencies. There are many companies that offer apps that you can install on smartphones that store and facilitate payments using cryptocurren- cies. The process is easy, merely copying destination addresses of the seller and then clicking buttons in your wallet to send the agreed upon amount of the cryptocurrency to the seller’s electronic wallet.
For those companies that do not have the ability to receive direct payments from an electronic wallet, there is the intermediary option, which is what many large companies are now using. For example, Expedia uses a popular and widely accepted cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, as its intermediary.52
Venezuela has launched its own cryptocurrency called Petro to try and remedy its own debt crisis. The state of Georgia accepts bitcoin for the pay- ment of taxes and governments across the world will shortly be following suit. Now that one can buy a gift card with bitcoin called Gyft or use a third party app like purse.io and shop at Amazon.com and the fee is not much more than paying interest on your credit card, the world now has another form of payment with a market cap in the $500,000,000,000 range. Skeptics who think cryptocurrencies are a fad destined to fail will need to see five hundred billion dollars disappear faster than it was created. Although Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, once called bitcoin a fraud, his company now acts “as an agent for buyers and sellers of bitcoin XBT, an exchange-traded
52. Bitcoin Terms and Conditions, EXPEDIA.COM, https://www.expedia.com/Check- out/BitcoinTermsAndConditions (last visited June 8, 2018).
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note designed to track the value of the cryptocurrency.”53 This is indisputable evidence that the cryptocurrency bandwagon is gaining momentum.
Exchanges and Commerce
An Initial Coin Offering (ICO) is similar to an IPO where a company that has launched a cryptocurrency wants to raise money to grow. So far, only bitcoin has surfaced as a pseudo-currency. In fact, most of the other cryptocur- rencies have what is known as a platform underlying their cryptocurrency. It is this fact that is critical to the argument as to whether cryptocurrencies will be a significant part of society in the future.
The commerce aspect of cryptocurrencies is the greater game, far above the investment component of how this new marketplace will unfold. Several industries are already morphing into a smart contract world using the block- chain technology. The question isn’t whether these platforms will be a signif- icant part of society, it is when will the ‘bugs get ironed out’ so that big busi- ness and governments embraces them.
Cryptocurrency Hedge Funds
As of mid-February 2018, the number of hedge funds specializing in cryp- tocurrencies rose to 226. This is incredible growth when you consider at the start of 2017 there were only 37 hedge funds focused on cryptocurrencies. The hedge funds tracked by the leading hedge fund database provider Eurekahedge showed a return of 1,477% in 2017 on average. Estimated current value of these cryptocurrency-based hedge funds is $3.5-5 billion.54 HFR is a separate entity that keeps track of fund managers investing in blockchain digital cur- rency and distributed ledger technologies. HFR has created two blockchain indices: the HFR Block Chain Composite Index showed a 2,494% increase in
53. Reuters, JP Morgan Helps Clients Buy Bitcoin Despite CEO Calling Bitcoin ‘a Fraud’, FORTUNE (Sept. 18, 2017) http://fortune.com/2017/09/18/jpmorgan-buy- bitcoin-ceo-callingfraud.
54. Crypto Fund List, AUTONOMOUS NEXT, https://next.autonomous.com/cryptofun- dlist/ (last visited June 8, 2018).
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the preceding 12 months through January 2018 and the HFR Cryptocurrency Index showed a 2,598% for the same period.55
One of the more successful hedge funds has been Pantera Bitcoin Fund based in San Francisco. For the life of the fund which started in 2013, the total returns are a positive 25,004%. 56 It predominantly has been investing in bitcoins (this return was based on the bitcoin pricing of $15,500) which far surpasses the highest performing non-cryptocurrency hedge fund which was up only 148% in 2017, whereas the average hedge fund was only up 8.83% 2017.57 Pantera has a compounded annual rate of return of roughly 250% a year.
U.S. Publicly Traded Cryptocurrency Companies
These bitcoin Funds serve as examples of how investing in bitcoins works.
BITCOIN INVESTMENT TRUST (GBTC) NASDAQ
The Bitcoin Investment Trust - one of the most popular ways for retail traders to make bets on bitcoin. Essentially, the Bitcoin Investment Trust works like an exchange-traded fund (ETF). The fund owns bitcoins on behalf of its investors, which the fund's managers are responsible for keeping safe. Based on the current amount of bitcoins the fund owns, February 28, 2018, each share currently represents about 0.00100567 bitcoin58.59 Unfortunately,
55. HFR Blockchain Indices Performance Tables, HFR, https://www.hedgefundresearch.com/family-indices/hfr-blockchain (last visited June 8, 2018).
56. Nathaniel Popper, A Bitcoin Hedge Fund’s Return: 25,004% (That Wasn’t a Typo), N.Y. TIMES, Dec. 20, 2017, at B4.
57. HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE REPORT – DECEMBER 2017, EVESTMENT (Jan. 10, 2018), available at https://www.evestment.com/project/hedge-fund-performance-report-december-2017/.
58. Bitcoin Investment Trust, GRAYSCALE, https://grayscale.co/bitcoin-investment- trust/ (last visited March 3, 2018).
59. Matthew Frankel, The Bitcoin Investment Trust’s Stock Is Splitting: Here's What You Need to Know, THE MOTLEY FOOL (Jan 16, 2018).
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many GBTC investors don’t fully understand exactly what it is they are buy- ing, and the risks involved.
The GBTC trust is operated by Grayscale Investments... In May 2015, Grayscale gained regulatory approval to improve liquidity for its private in- vestors by having shares of the trust trade on the U.S. OTC Market. Unlike the GLD ETF, which buys and stores physical gold, Grayscale has a unique chal- lenge in storing and protecting its digital bitcoin holdings. “For GBTC, we have leveraged a third-party custodian, a firm called Xapo,” Sonnenshein (the founder) said. “There is super intense cryptographic physical security as well as geographic dispersion such that their security model has no single point of failure.” Unfortunately, due to the fact it's currently the only bitcoin trust of its kind out there for investors, traders have driven the price of the GBTC way above the value of the bitcoin it holds. In fact, the GBTC trust has consistently traded at a 50 percent premium to its assets under management… To make matters worse, analyst Ihor Dusaniwsky said short sellers have been paying 10 to 20 percent borrowing fees all year, and fees will likely continue to climb along with short interest. “Long GBTC holders may feel the pain of its 53% asset premium shrinking, while short sellers will probably be incurring a 50%+ stock borrow fee – both sides will be paying a premium in order to ride the Bitcoin rollercoaster once the CBOE futures start trading,” Dusaniwsky said earlier this month.60
GBTC had a 90 for 1 split for shareholders of record on January 22, 2018. Merrill Lynch has banned its roughly 17,000 advisers from executing client requests to trade in GBTC.
March 6, 2018 - Grayscale Investments, the creator of the Bitcoin Invest- ment Trust, is launching four new trusts today, doubling its number of products aimed at helping investors explore cryptocurrencies. The new trusts - which bring ethereum, litecoin, XRP and bitcoin cash to the offerings the firm pro- vides - join Grayscale's existing bitcoin, ethereum classic and zcash invest- ment trusts, as well as its Digital Large Cap Fund, a multi-crypto investment fund announced last month. Each of the newly announced cryptocurrencies is already part of the Digital Large Cap Fund, but were not previously available individually. Michael Sonnenshein, the managing director of Grayscale In- vestments, said "It is our belief that digital currencies as an asset class have not only arrived, but are here to stay. Consequently, we are committed to
60. Wayne Duggan, How the Bitcoin Investment Trust Actually Works, BENZINGA (Dec. 21, 2017), https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/17/12/10941281/how-the-bitcoin-investment-trust-actually-works.
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providing investors with structures that enable them to participate in this ex- citing asset class." As of March 5, Grayscale had $2.1 billion in assets under management, he said, up from $208 million just a year ago.61
The Securities and Exchange Commission has a pile of bitcoin ETF appli- cations and institutional investors are lining up to get into the funds. Almost as soon as the first futures traded on the Cboe, the New York Stock Exchange filed for SEC approval for two ETFs based on bitcoin futures—one long and one short—to be managed by ProShares. Similarly, the Cboe has applied for approval for funds managed by fund families REX, First Trust and Gran- iteShares.62
Some companies are working to adopt Blockchain and cyprtocurrencies into their business model. In 2014, Overstock.com became the first major retailer to accept bitcoin for transactions. That same year, the e-tailer also be- gan developing a small division called Medici Ventures that is focused on blockchain technology, the underlying tech that powers and protects bitcoin transactions. Despite the fact that Medici lost nearly $12 million last year, Overstock shares have risen 260% since August, because a Medici subsidiary, tZero, announced it would begin trading digital coins and will seek to raise a record $500 million through a digital coin offering. D.A. Davidson analyst Tom Forte has gone so far to say that if Overstock sold its e-commerce arm to home in on the blockchain, the stock would rise another 60%.63 On March 1, 2018, the Securities Exchange Commission filed a request for information about tZero’s initial coin offering (ICO) in December 2017.64
Cryptocurrency Futures Trading
Cryptocurrency futures trading began in the United States in December 2017; currently, there is only one cryptocurrency being traded - bitcoin. The
61. Nikhilesh De, XRP, BCH, LTC & ETH: Grayscale Adds 4 New Crypto Trusts, COINDESK (Mar. 6, 2018), https://www.coindesk.com/xrp-bch-ltc-eth-grayscale- adds-4-new-crypto-trusts/.
62. Rob Curran, What You Need To Know About Bitcoin Funds, WALL ST. J. (Jan. 7, 2018).
63. Ryan Derousseau, Three Stocks That Are Soaring Because Of Bitcoin, MONEY MAGAZINE (Nov. 30, 2017), http://time.com/money/5042272/stocks-investing- bitcoin/.
64. Paul Vigna, Overstock.com Shares Fall on CryptoProbe, WALL ST. J. (Mar. 2, 2018).
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bitcoin currency future is traded on two U.S. markets - CME Group and Cboe Global Market. The trading in bitcoin futures are very similar in both markets, the following is some of the basic similarities:
· you can be long or short the futures and contract months are quarterly
· unlike the cash for spot market for bitcoins, you can use margin and thus leverage your investment or hedging strategy
· settlement is a cash settlement - there is no physical delivery of bitcoin electronic currency
· both Chicago based markets are regulated by the CFTC, where many for- eign virtual currency exchanges are to some degree unregulated
· Bitcoin futures can be used to hedge a physical ownership of bitcoins
· spreading futures is available, but currently, there are no bitcoin options traded
· it’s not necessary to own bitcoin electronic currency and no “digital wal- let” is necessary
· both markets currently contain “Contango”65 the term for when further out contract months, trade at a premium to the current or closer in contract months.
The following are some of the specifics of the CME Group and Cboe Global Markets and some differences:
Cboe Global Markets – Cboe Bitcoin (USD) Future XBT
· XBT (the symbol) futures are cash-settled futures contracts that are based on the auction price of bitcoin in U.S. dollars on the Gemini Exchange
· the contract multiplier is one bitcoin (bitcoin closing price $14,000 times 1 = futures contract of $14,000)
· initial margin is 44% of the previous day's future settlement and mainte- nance margin is 40%
· minimum tick is $10 per contract
65. Contango is the prevailing term structure for most futures markets much of the time. For instance, a well-supplied physical commodity market should remain in Contango. The pricing disparity between different delivery months should reflect the cost to store and insure the product over a given time frame. That’s typically referred to as “cost of carry.” A trader will pay more for the commodity at some future date to avoid incurring the costs of that commodity from now to that future date. In a nor- mal market (Contango), there is a negative expected yield if a futures contract is rolled forward. See generally, Contango, INVESTOPEDIA, https://www.investopedia. com/terms/c/contango.asp (last visited June 5, 2018).
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CME Group Bitcoin (USD) Future BTC
· BTC (the symbol) futures are cash-settled futures contracts that are based on the auction price of bitcoin in U.S. dollars on the Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR)66
· CME has one additional day of trading on Sunday
· initial margin is 43% for hedgers and 47% for speculators; maintenance margin is 43% for both hedgers and speculators.
· the contract multiplier is five bitcoins (bitcoin closing price $14,000 times 5 = $70,000)
· minimum tick is $5 per contract
In January 2018, Ameritrade allowed investors to trade bitcoin futures contracts on the Cboe with a minimum deposit of $25,000 in their account. Other broker-dealers that allow clients to trade in bitcoin futures are Interactive Brokers, E*TRADE, Wedbush, among others. As of March 2018, the millions that have thus far been traded on the two U.S. bitcoin futures markets is best described as muted when compared to the Asian cash/spot markets.
SEC, FINRA – Future Regulation
The SEC is already very actively regulating cryptocurrencies. The SEC’s focus will mainly be on the fund-raising efforts/offerings by the cryptocurren- cies companies and their reporting requirements. The bulk of SEC enforce- ment actions thus far on cryptocurrencies have related to private placements to raise funds, but that is expanding almost weekly. At SEC.gov, the SEC has extensive investor alerts and warnings for investors and potential participants relating to cryptocurrencies. As this article goes to press, the SEC has an- nounced it will regulate the Cryptocurrency trading exchanges.
66. The BRR is calculated based on the relevant bitcoin transactions on all Constitu- ent Exchanges between 3:00 p.m. and 4:00 p.m. London time. The price and size of each relevant transaction is recorded and added to a list which is portioned into 12 equally-weighted time intervals of 5 minutes each. For each partition, a volume- weighted median trade price is calculated from the trade prices and sizes of the rele- vant transactions across all the Constituent Exchanges. The BRR is then determined by taking an equally-weighted average of the volume-weighted medians of all parti- tions. See generally CME CF Cryptocurrency Reference Rates, CME GROUP, http://www.cmegroup.com/education/bitcoin/bitcoin-reference-rate-methodology.html (last visited June 8, 2018).
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FINRA has had no enforcement actions relating to cryptocurrencies, but that day looms in the very near future. FINRA enforcement efforts will focus on the marketing, recommendations and sales efforts of their licensed regis- tered representatives – stockbrokers and investment advisors. At FINRA.org there are likewise extensive investor alerts and warnings for investors as it re- lates to virtual currencies and cryptocurrencies. FINRA Rule 3110 Supervision certainly applies to the recommendation and sale of cryptocurrencies.
This article has provided ample evidence that investing in cryptocurren- cies is not for the faint of heart. Every single regulatory agency has gone out of its way to make it quite clear that investing in cryptocurrencies is a highly speculative venture. If a licensed broker or advisor either makes a misstate- ment or omits telling an investor a material fact as it relates to a potential cryp- tocurrency investment, that individual is also in violation of the antifraud stat- utes.67 FINRA RULE 2020 - Use of Manipulative, Deceptive or Other Fraudulent Devices could be violated in the recommendation of purchasing crypto- currencies.
It’s not as if brokers and advisers are bereft of a plethora of choices for high risk and speculative investments and strategies to recommend: options, leveraged ETFs, private placements, day trading, and shorting, to name a few. Virtual currencies/cryptocurrencies are the latest addition to these speculative investments and strategies, but they offer a unique challenge to professionals in the securities industry because they are the hottest game in town. Millions and even billions have been made in just the last few years, and just like the California gold rush of 1849, investors, speculators, scamsters, and “miners” are attracted to this get-rich fever.68 In addition to the regulators, broker-deal- ers, managers, supervisors and compliance professionals will be faced with fast-moving, ever-changing virtual currency markets.
All indications point to a global future where cryptocurrencies will be mainstream across the world, and once stabilized, particularly in the Third World wherein the unbanked have no banking alternative.69 The biggest issue
67. See 17 C.F.R. 240.10b-5 (2017).
68. Prophets of Boom, FORBES, Feb. 28, 2018, at 60.
69. See generally Vigna, supra note 11; Leigh Cuen, Afghan Tech Entrepreneur Uses Bitcoin To Empower Women, IBT (Aug. 8, 2017), http://www.ibtimes.com/afghan-tech-entrepreneur-uses-bitcoin-empower-women-2575881.
2018] PIABA BAR JOURNAL 85
is that most of the attention has been focused on the investment aspect of cryp- tocurrencies which has cast a dark cloud over these cryptic virtual coins from regulators and investment professionals. However, where the attention should be focused is on the commerce aspects that are on the verge of changing the way the world transacts every-day activities.
The ease of transactions through the blockchain technology from ethereum and other cryptocurrencies could simplify consumer transactions and increase the volume of goods and services in a secure environment with less volatility. The irony here is that the investment component of cryptocurrencies is riddled while the commerce component reduces volatility.
Sooner or later a sustainable equilibrium will be found.